The ousting of Bolivian President Evo Morales was possible only with the support of the country's armed forces, and Venezuela's opposition is unlikely to deliver its own coup while the army is back in Caracas, an analyst told RT.
After another lackluster attempt to launch mass demonstrations to topple Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro on Saturday, opposition leader Juan Guaido may be wondering how his counterparts in Bolivia got their strike so quickly. But Lucas Koerner, an independent political analyst and editor of Venezuelanalysis.com, says it all comes down to weapons.
"The key factor is the military," Koerner told RT's Rick Sanchez. "In Venezuela, the military remained on the side of the constitutionally elected president, where in Bolivia they opted to overthrow also democratically elected president Evo Morales, who had just won an election with 47% of the vote."
On April 30, we recall that (Guaido) attempted a military coup to expel Maduro, but only a very small section of the armed forces, perhaps a few dozen soldiers, participated.
Guaido's failure to get support from security services is not exactly surprising. A poll last year by Caracas-based research firm Delphos found that 97 percent of Venezuelans had never heard of the US-backed opposition leader, much less supported him to lead a military junta to oust the president-elect. Even within the Venezuelan opposition, the Guaido faction also made enemies in other ways.
"This goes back to last year when the opposition had a presidential candidate, Henri Falcon, who was the biggest opposition figure at the time, and with the united opposition behind him, they could have defeated Maduro," Koerner said.
But instead, the Guaido faction – that kind of extremist faction (whose) main line is in Miami and Washington – they chose to boycott because they didn't want to do politics.
By choosing to let Maduro run unchallenged, Koerner suggested that the opposition throw away its only chance to remove the socialist leader from office by democratic means.
Also at rt.com
Opposition senator declares "interim president" of Bolivia without quorum or vote
Guaido declared himself "interim president" of Venezuela in January and received immediate support from Washington and its Latin American allies in the Organization for American States (OAS). But unlike Bolivia's opposition movement, which toppled President Morales after just weeks of protest with the support of the military, similar efforts against Maduro have so far been unsuccessful.
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